Google to Surpass Microsoft in OS Penetration by 2016

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According to the market research firm, Google will be able to increase the number of Android devices in the market from 608 million today to 2.3 billion computers, tablets and smartphones by the end of 2016.

In comparison, Windows devices are projected to grow from 1.5 billion to only 2.28 billion units, Gartner said.

The firm believes that the mobile market in particular will continue to consolidate around Android and iOS, "with other ecosystems struggling to gain traction, and, with most vendors committed to Android." By the end of 2014, three of the five top mobile handset vendors will be Chinese, Gartner said.

In the tablet market, unit shipments are estimated to be about half of the volume of notebooks by 2015, while Windows 8 is not expected to trump either iOS or Android in tablet volume and has to be content with third place.

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Wolfgang Gruener
18 Comments Comment from the forums
  • vern72
    Samsung's moving to China?
    Reply
  • house70
    LOL, Gruener said "penetration"...

    Pretty useless, I know, but I couldn't help it.

    Reply
  • john_4
    vern72Samsung's moving to China?Don't see it, Samsung is Korean and their government has not sold out to China like the USA government has.
    Reply
  • hero1
    Who else got the crystal ball? I will believe it when I see it.
    Reply
  • sykozis
    There are no Android computers....and ChromeOS has yet to get any traction at all.... The mobile market, being considerably larger than the PC market, it makes sense that Google would have more devices running "their" OS...
    Reply
  • Richeemxx
    Hmm lets see a 400% jump in the market over 4 years, kinda doubt that. Its fairly inevitable that we'll see another game changer coming along that will likely take some share from both. What it will be is anyone's guess, but I don't see those types of gains being sustainable each year.
    Reply
  • Shin-san
    sykozisThere are no Android computers....and ChromeOS has yet to get any traction at all.... The mobile market, being considerably larger than the PC market, it makes sense that Google would have more devices running "their" OS...I'm seeing this as well. They have to consider the enterprise market
    Reply
  • portentous
    Similar predictions have been made for Linux and OSX. At the end of the day, Windows XP pervails.
    The mobile platform has a much faster turnover time - Nokia and Blackberry was not so long ago all the rage. It will all depend on how well WP8 integrate with the corporate/enterprise structure to give both iOS and Android a run for their moneys.
    Reply
  • edogawa
    Apples and Oranges, comparing two operating systems for two totally different purposes.

    Article should say, "Android will continue to be on more phones and tablets then Windows still." Maybe Windows tablets will take off and sell more than android, I doubt Windows phones will become popular.
    Reply
  • southernshark
    It might happen. Although I am optimistic about Windows 8 phones, especially once we get some x86 (Atom) options out there. Right now there aren't nearly enough Atom phones and of course no Window 8, Atom phones. I hope that changes soon.
    Reply